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8:05
Cyclone Olga has shown some robust strengthening today, and is showing thick banding with high cloud tops wrapping around the center. The cyclone is likely to reach hurricane winds overnight, and peak during the day tomorrow as a Category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Scale (Category 3 Australia). The good news for land interests is that the forecast is solidifying with regards to the storm moving sharply westwards and far away from significantly affecting land, although rip currents a
681 views
Apr 6, 2024
Facebook
Force Thirteen
13:58
Cyclone Megan continues to push inland over the Northern Territory of Australia, and is now a tropical depression. Whilst the winds have died down and satellite shows a loosening of its upper level rotation, the cyclone still appears to remain sturdy at the lower levels, with large amounts of rainfall and thunderstorms extending northwards towards the Top End. Meanwhile, Tropical Depression 18S continues to hold on and is actually looking better today, with strengthening on the cards. The Bureau
168 views
Mar 19, 2024
Facebook
Force Thirteen
7:48
A new tropical cyclone is forming in the eastern Indian Ocean, not far from the coast of Western Australia. With its circulation becoming more apparant today, the new cyclone is expected to start strengthening considerably, and is likely to reach a Category 2 peak on the Saffir Simpson Scale (Category 3 or 4 AU). Thankfully, the storm does not pose a large threat to land, with its small size and anticipated movement parallel to the coast. Rainfall is also expected to be light, but rough seas and
904 views
Apr 5, 2024
Facebook
Force Thirteen
7:45
Tropical Cyclone 18S has so far failed to impress the Bureau of Meteorology, who are still yet to name the storm. With winds near 50 miles per hour (80kph), the storm has stayed fairly steady with its strength, but we expect that rapid intensification will begin tomorrow as the storm further consolidates its structure. Warnings that were in effect for the Kimberley earlier have been lifted, but a Cyclone Watch remains for Broome. Of course, more warnings will be required as we get closer to the
87 views
Apr 10, 2023
Facebook
Force Thirteen
13:46
A tropical cyclone is developing between India and Myanmar in the Bay of Bengal today, and is likely to rapidly strengthen over the next few days. The storm only has a short window for development, but conditions are extremely favourable with very warm sea surface temperatures. Model projections indicate a landfall in Odisha with winds in excess of 100 miles per hour (160kph), although the track forecast remains very uncertain. It should also be noted that the model consensus has shifted westwar
993 views
May 23, 2024
Facebook
Force Thirteen
14:48
Cyclone Belal blew through the Mascarene islands in the last 24 hours, making a possible landfall on the northeastern tip of Réunion at around 11am local time on Monday with winds near 100 miles per hour (160kph). The storm has weakened somewhat and is expected to gradually die down over the next few days, but the remnant circulation could track back towards the islands this weekend or next week. Elsewhere, Tropical Storm Anggrek has formed and has sparked a Cyclone Watch for the Cocos (Keeling)
961 views
Jan 16, 2024
Facebook
Force Thirteen
14:57
Cyclone Jasper has recovered from its dreadful state yesterday and is maintaining intensity with winds near 100 kilometers per hour. The storm is expected to hold strength or become slightly stronger up until landfall on Wednesday afternoon or evening. Wind shear is barraging the storm on the western side, whilst a large clump of convection continues unabated to the east. Heavy rainfall is already starting to affect the region around Cairns, where over 600mm could fall over the next few days. Ja
105 views
Dec 12, 2023
Facebook
Force Thirteen
9:27
Cyclone Garance made its expected turn towards the south earlier today, and is now veering towards the island of Réunion with winds of 120 miles per hour (190kph) sustained. The storm is expected to lash the Mascarene islands overnight tonight into tomorrow morning, with the destructive core of the storm likely to reach Réunion in the early hours. Rainfall on the island is likely to reach over 150mm, which could cause flash flooding during the night especially in the north and east. In Mauritius
840 views
Feb 27, 2025
Facebook
Force Thirteen
14:02
Cyclone Warnings are in effect for parts of Western Australia today as a new cyclone takes shape just offshore. The storm is expected to intensify a little and make landfall as a moderate tropical storm (Category 1-2 AU scale) to the east of Cockatoo Island and Derby. The storm is likely to drop up to 200mm of rainfall over a fairly wide area at landfall and inland later on, whilst unrelated rains continue to affect large parts of the interior of Queensland to the east. Elsewhere, Cyclone Courtn
269 views
Mar 28, 2025
Facebook
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