Erin is the first hurricane to develop over the Atlantic this year, and meteorologists are closely tracking its path and forecast.

The center of a tropical disturbance that flared up in the Gulf began to move across land on Friday, bringing heavy rainfall to parts of northeastern Mexico and South Texas.

Invest 98L, the tropical system that emerged near Mexico early Wednesday, Aug. 13, is tracking toward Texas. Will it impact the state?

Forecasters say Tropical Storm Ivo has formed off the coast of southern Mexico in the eastern Pacific Ocean and could bring rain and rough surf to some areas.

Tropical Storm Ivo is gaining strength in the eastern Pacific, prompting the National Hurricane Center (NHC) to issue a hurricane warning for offshore waters along the southwestern coast of Mexico. According to forecasts cited by Newsweek,

A tropical disturbance, called Invest 98L, in the Gulf of Mexico is expected to bring downpours and a renewed risk of flooding through Friday.

Tropical Storm Erin is expected to become a hurricane later today, Aug. 15, and a Category 4 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph over the weekend. A major hurricane is a Category 3 or stronger, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph.

The National Hurricane Center gives the disturbance a 20% chance of developing into at least a tropical depression in the coming days.

The NHC warned that Tropical Storm Ivo is forecast to bring total rainfall of 2 to 4 inches—reaching up to 6 inches in certain locations—across parts of the Mexican states of Guerrero, Michoacán de Ocampo, and Colima through Friday, raising the risk of flash flooding.